How to tell whether your baby will be tubby by the age of ten, according to a scientific formula

How to tell whether your baby will be tubby by the age of ten, according to a scientific formula

SCIENTISTS can now accurately predict whether a baby will end up becoming a fat ten-year-old.
Experts analysed data on nearly 8,000 Dutch kids to create the new tubby risk calculator.
Getty Experts have devised a formula that can predict whether your baby will by chubby by the time they are ten years old
They found 12 simple factors – such as birth weight, early growth and parental health – can help correctly forecast whether a child would later become overweight.
Scientists claim the tool is 70 per cent precise and can be used within months of birth.
All kids in England are measured when they begin primary school to assess whether they are overweight or obese.
But researchers warn officials are intervening too late – and called for much earlier action.
The findings were presented at the world’s largest obesity conference.
Lead researcher Tanja Vrijkotte, Associate Professor Amsterdam Medical Center, said: “You can predict overweight at a very young age if you combine early growth parameters with demographics, then you have a really good picture of the risk group.”
One in three UK kids now leaves primary school overweight or obese.
Being too heavy raises the risk of type 2 diabetes, heart and liver disease, and several common cancers.
12 risk factors for your child being obese

Mum has high BMI before getting pregnant
Dad has high BMI
Mum has diabetes
Mum smoked while pregnant
Dad smokes at home – or smoking is allowed in the house
Mum isn’t educated
Mum is younger than 20 or older than 35
If the baby is a girl
If baby is of non-Western ethnicity
If baby weighs less than 3kg at birth
Going to nursery for less than 50 days a year
Baby’s rate of growth over first few months

Tam Fry, from the National Obesity Forum, welcomed the tool. He said: “This can act as a ‘wake up call’ to ensure that children can be set on the right road, with healthier habits.”
Other key predictors are diabetes and smoking during pregnancy, and whether the child’s parents are also fat.
Prof Vrijkotte hopes the test will help medics identify children at higher risk so they can act early to prevent poor health.
This can act as a ‘wake up call’ to ensure that children can be set on the right road, with healthier habits.Tam Fry, National Obesity Forum
She said many parents would be shocked by the tool’s predictions.
Speaking at the European Congress on Obesity in Glasgow, she added: “It is so difficult to lose weight so I think we should focus on prevention, so that children can become healthy adults.
“I think we should start earlier than two years old… to use these kinds of tools in discussing with the parents, when the infant does not have a problem yet.”
Thinking out loudBy Shaun Wooller
CHATTY parents are more likely to have brainier kids with larger vocabularies, a study found.
Tots exposed to more adult words aged two to four performed better in thinking, numeracy and shape awareness tests.
They also used a greater variety of words themselves.
Researchers fitted tiny sound recorders into the clothing of 107 pre-school children and monitored them at home for three days.
Mums, dads and other carers also completed activities with the kids, such as drawing, copying and matching tasks.
Analysis revealed children with the most talkative parents scored highest.
Those who were encouraged to explore and express themselves were also less likely to be restless, aggressive and disobedient.
Study leader Katrina d’Apice, from the University of York, said recording the children at home gave better results than previous lab-based tests.
She added: “We found that the quantity of adult spoken words that children hear is positively associated with their cognitive ability.
“However, further research is needed to explore the reasons behind this link.
“It could be that greater exposure to language provides more learning opportunities for children.
“But it could also be the case that more intelligent children evoke more words from adults in their environment.”
Prof Sophie von Stumm, who also worked on the study, said: “This study is the largest naturalistic observation of early life home environments to date.
“We found that the quantity of adult spoken words that children were exposed to varied greatly within families.
“Some kids heard twice as many words on one day as they did on the next.”
The findings are published in the journal Developmental Psychology.

Possible interventions include diet changes or more exercise to reduce their obesity risk.
Commenting on the study Dr Max Davie, Officer for Health Improvement at the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, said: “Any model that accurately predicts an increased likelihood of developing obesity allows us to intervene and provide targeted weight management support and advice at an earlier stage.
“We know that overweight children are more likely to become overweight adults with an increased risk of serious health problems, so being able to identify and help young children at risk would go some way towards protecting their health in the future.”
Getty Researchers warn that officials are intervening too late – Prof Vrijkotte says a focus should be put on prevention earlier than two years old
Scientists blame working mums for UK’s child obesity epidemic


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