Republican presidential nominee
Donald Trump delivers a speech at a conference in Roanoke, Virginia, on
July 25, 2016. (photos by AFP)
new poll shows that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has
taken a two-percentage point lead over his Democratic rival, Hillary
Clinton, in the run-up to the 2016 US presidential race.
to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday, the New York
businessman has 39 percent of the votes as compared to Clinton’s 37
percent of support, marking the first time he has been ahead since early
Trump made the gains
after accepting the Republican Party’s nomination during the four-day
convention in Cleveland last week and before Clinton’s nomination in
Philadelphia this week.
The poll was carried out between July 22 and 26 with a credibility interval of four percentage points.
former secretary of state has solidly been trailed by Trump in the poll
throughout most of the 2016 presidential race, however, only on May 9,
the Republican presidential nominee briefly pulled even with Clinton
with a 0.3 percentage point lead.
Clinton speaks at a Democratic Party organizing event on July 25, 2016 in Charlotte, North Carolina.
this month, Gallup released a poll indicating that Trump and Clinton
were currently among the worst-rated presidential candidates of the last
When Americans were
asked what comes to mind when they think of Clinton, 27 percent said
they did not trust her, 13 percent said they did not like her and eight
percent said she is a “criminal” or “corrupt.”
latest responses reflect that many Americans continue to see Clinton as
dishonest and untrustworthy and dislike her in general.
also evoked a variety of negative reactions about his personality.
Sixteen percent said they disliked him, while 12 percent described him
as an “idiot” or a “joke” and 10 percent as a “racist” or a “bigot.”
is while, in a different poll by the Landmark/Rosetta Stone, Trump led
Clinton by one percentage point in the US state of Georgia, where 45.5 percent of African-Americans voted in favor of the New York businessman and 44.2 percent backed his rival.
presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders appear on
stage just before a CNN-sponsored debate in Brooklyn in April. Photo /
Melina Mara, The Washington Post
It’s common for presidential candidates to get a bump from their
conventions, and two polls yesterday suggest Donald Trump did indeed get
The Republican presidential nominee posted a two-point
lead over his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, according to a
Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released today, the first time he has been
ahead since early May.
The July 22-26 poll found that 39 per cent
of likely voters supported Trump, 37 per cent supported Clinton and 24
per cent would vote for neither. The poll had a credibility interval of 4
percentage points, meaning that the two candidates should be considered
about even in support.
But the new polls don’t just show Trump’s
stock rising (however temporarily that may be); they also have some
very bad news for Hillary Clinton and her already-declining personal
image. Indeed, politically, she’s doing as bad as she ever has – if not
A caveat at the outset: The GOP convention was, as was to be
expected, very anti-Clinton. There were chants of “lock her up” and
plenty of accusations lodged against Clinton. So it’s perhaps not
surprising to see Clinton’s numbers take a hit. But they have been
steadily getting worse for months and are now basically worse than ever
Below, four key points:
Donald Trump has seen his stock rise since
the Republican National Convention in Cleveland last week and is leading
is several polls. Photo / AP
1) 68 per cent say Clinton isn’t honest and trustworthy
according to the CNN poll, and it’s her worst number on-record. It’s
also up from 65 per cent earlier this month and 59 per cent in May. The
30 per cent who see Clinton as honest and trustworthy is now well shy of
the number who say the same of Trump: 43 per cent.
You heard that right: Trump – he of the many, many
Pinocchios – now has a large lead on Clinton when it comes to honesty
The CBS poll, for what it’s worth, has a similar number saying Clinton is dishonest: 67 per cent.
2) Her image has never been worse
showed just 31 per cent have favorable views of Clinton and 56 per cent
have unfavorable ones. Even in Trump’s worst days on the campaign
trail, he has rarely dipped below a 31 per cent favorable rating.
Clinton has hit that number a few times, but her negative-25 net
favorable rating here is tied for the worst of her campaign, according
to Huffington Post Pollster.
In the CNN poll, the 39 per
cent who say they have a favorable view of Clinton is lower than at any
point in CNN’s regular polling since April 1992 – when she wasn’t even
first lady yet. Of course, back then, the reason just 38 per cent of
people liked her was because many were unfamiliar with her. At the time,
39 per cent were unfavorable and 23 per cent had no opinion.
favorable rating in the CNN poll is currently 16 points net-negative.
That’s unprecedented in the dozens of CNN polls on her since 1992.
new numbers on Monday – 38 per cent favorable and 57 per cent
unfavorable – are also unprecedented over the course of Clinton’s
This also appears to be the first time ever that Clinton’s image measures worse than Trump’s. It does so in both polls.
Hillary Clinton’s public image has been in steady decline over recent months. Photo / File
3) Just 38 per cent would be “proud” to have her as president
That’s down from 55 per cent in March 2015. Sixty per cent say they would not be proud.
On this measure, she’s basically on the same footing as Trump, whom 39 per cent would be proud of and 59 per cent wouldn’t be.
4) Nearly half of Democratic primary voters still want Bernie Sanders
dispatched with Sanders and now has his endorsement, but despite 9 in
10 consistent Sanders supporters saying they’ll vote Clinton in
November, many of them still pine for their first love.
poll, in fact, shows 45 per cent of those who voted in Democratic
primaries still say they wish it was Sanders. Just 49 per cent say they
prefer Clinton – down from 55 per cent a month ago.